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A divided path: Connecting to renewable energy zone (REZ) or existing grid

April 24, 2025

South-west Renewable Energy Zone REZ NSW Energy Synapse Mohamad Afin Faisol

The primary goal of Renewable Energy Zone (REZ) development is to coordinate renewable energy projects, particularly wind, solar, and hybrid projects, within specific locations. This ensures efficient electricity generation, transmission, and storage while optimising the network augmentations required to support power transmission.

Since the NSW Government’s first declaration of the Central-West Orana Renewable Energy Zone (REZ) in 2020—followed by the formal establishment of the Central-West Orana REZ Access Scheme in December 2022—many other REZs have been developed across NSW and Australia.

The South-West REZ is one of five major REZs established by the NSW Government. Stretching from Darlington Point in the east to Red Cliffs in the west, this region boasts abundant solar and wind resources. However, data from the Energy Synapse Platform indicates that the area currently suffers from poor marginal loss factors (MLF) as well as high levels of curtailment due to network constraints.

Several new transmission projects are being developed in the region, including Project EnergyConnect, which is currently under construction, and VNI West, which remains in the planning phase. EnergyConnect is projected to be completed by 2027, while VNI West is anticipated to be fully operational by 2030 under the Step Change scenario. These projects are expected to significantly enhance network capacity in the area.

South-west Renewable Energy Zone REZ NSW

Tender results announced for South-west Renewable Energy Zone Access Rights

AEMO Services, appointed by the NSW Government, launched the South-West REZ Access Rights tender in May 2024. Securing an Access Right is an essential step in being able to connect to a REZ and is awarded based on a competitive multistage merit assessment, which considers both project and financial value criteria.

The results of the South-west REZ Access Rights tender were finally announced on 23 April 2025. 3.56 GW of combined capacity was awarded across four projects:

▶️ 1,460 MW Yanco Delta Wind Farm developed by Origin Energy;

▶️ 1,007 MW Dinawan Energy Hub (wind, solar and BESS) developed by Spark Renewables;

▶️ 831.2 MW Pottinger Energy Park (wind and BESS) developed by Someva and AGL; and

▶️ 262.3 MW Bullawah Wind Farm developed by BayWa r.e.

One of the biggest advantages for developers connecting to a REZ is greater curtailment certainty. For example, the South-west REZ has a 3.86% Target Transmission Curtailment Level (TTCL) as stated in the tender guidelines. As a result, many renewable energy developers are eager to secure Access Rights to REZs. Our research indicates there are at least 28 projects located within the South-West REZ area with a total capacity of about 15 GW. Most of this capacity has missed out on securing an Access Right. This highlights a key risk for companies who are developing projects in REZs.

Many other REZs remain in the pipeline, with numerous renewable energy developers still awaiting connection opportunities. Project developers now face a divided path—either waiting for future REZ tenders, which depend heavily on transmission network augmentations, or advancing their projects by seeking opportunities elsewhere, in the increasingly limited existing network capacity.

The Energy Synapse Platform is widely used by utility-scale project developers and investors in the electricity sector to understand the locational value of wind, solar, battery, and pumped hydro projects across the National Electricity Market (NEM). This includes insights on marginal loss factors, capacity factors, revenue, and curtailment—key considerations for project developers as the market matures and integrates increasing volumes of renewable energy generation. Request a demo

Author: Mohamad Afin Faisol, Analyst at Energy Synapse.

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Overcoming barriers to battery investment

April 10, 2025

Marija Petkovic Energy Synapse Smart Energy 2025 Battery Investment NEM

Investment in utility-scale batteries is rapidly accelerating in Australia’s National Electricity Market (NEM). Registered battery capacity doubled in 2024 to over 3 GW, with a further 90+ GW under development.

Energy Synapse Managing Director Marija Petkovic was invited to speak at Smart Energy 2025 about how we are overcoming barriers to investment.Registered battery capacity NEM

Snapshot of key investment barriers we have overcome

▶️Establishment of frameworks for transmission network service providers (TNSPs) to procure system strength and synthetic inertia services from batteries with grid forming inverters, which will help keep the grid stable as we transition to being fully renewable. These services are being procured via bilateral agreements, often long term, which is a big boost to the bankability of BESS projects. For example, Koorangie Battery in Victoria secured a 20-year agreement to provide system strength services starting from 2025.

▶️Expansion of state based System Integrity Protection Scheme (SIPS), which harnesses the power of batteries to act as virtual transmission. This is also done via bilateral agreements, which improves revenue certainty. Several batteries have SIPS agreements including Horndale Power Reserve, Victorian Big Battery, and Waratah Super Battery.

▶️Introduction of fast frequency response (1-second) markets, which reward the unmatched speed of batteries.

▶️Establishment of market registration and operational frameworks (under IESS rule change) for BESS hybrid projects, leading to an explosion of hybrid projects under development.

▶️Innovation in offtake agreements to manage revenue risks and improve bankability. For example, through physical tolls, virtual tolls, time based swaps and more.

Policy uncertainty around coal closures remains a major barrier to battery investment

While we have made amazing progress, one major barrier to battery investment remains: policy uncertainty around coal closures.

AEMO’s Integrated System Plan sets out a path for Australia’s energy transition. However, we have seen uncoordinated responses from state governments in Victoria, New South Wales, and just this week in Queensland to extend the life of coal-fired power stations. Industry is also battling policy uncertainty at the federal level with a looming election.

Greater certainty on the timing of coal closures will give industry more confidence to make appropriate investment decisions. This is especially important for medium and long duration storage.

RenewEconomy has quoted Marija Petkovic’s comments on policy and coal closures.

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